| Physical Process | Hypothesized Change |
|
Wind Stress Curl | Decreases, northward shift |
|
Poleward Transport | Position of subarctic bifurcation moves north; changes in transport unknown |
|
Coastal wind stress | Decreases, esp. winter |
|
Coastal downwelling | Decreases, esp. winter |
|
Coastal precipitation | Increases |
|
Freshwater input | Increases; maximum shifts toward winter |
|
Coastal current transport (ACC) | Decreases |
|
Stratification | Increases in central gulf and in coastal region |
|
Upwelling, central Gulf of AK | Decreases |
|
SST | Increases |
|
Eddies and meanders | Unknown |
|
Mixed layer depth | Decreases |
|
Cross shelf transport | Decreases |
|
Winter storms intensity | Decreases |
|
Winter storm frequency | Unknown |
|
Timing of spring bloom | Unknown; may be later due to lower temperatures, or earlier due to decreased cloudiness affecting solar timing. |